Wednesday, December 29, 2004

 

False Comfort From The Washington Post.

The WaPo is running a series this week on the threat posed by WMD in the hands of terrorists.

Today's heartwarming tale focuses on the nuclear threat. You can read it here, "free" registration required (puddknockers).

Their conclusion? While possible, it's unlikely that terrorists would be able to acquire, let alone detonate, a nuclear weapon.

Whew, thanks for putting my mind at ease. I mean, it's obviously real hard, like bombing-the-World-Trade-Center-hard.

Oops, bad analogy. Maybe it's as hard as, say, flying a plane into the Pentagon?

Hmmm, that doesn't work. Perhaps it's as hard as releasing nerve gas into a subway system?

Dammit. This isn't going anywhere.

I guess my worry is predicated on two factors: 1) intent, and 2) capability. We know the bad guys have the intent.

The capability would seem to be the sticking point, but as I see it, that's only a matter of time.

For one, they could always buy a weapon. That might be impossible in most nations, even in Russia, but is that so impossible in Pakistan? Or North Korea? Or, eventually, Iran?

If money won't talk, stealing usually works.

Finally, while most everyone scoffs at the prospect, actually *building* a homegrown nuclear weapon can't be entirely ruled out. Skeptics will point to the difficulty experienced in many national nuclear programs and argue against the success of any homegrown effort, but those programs typically face unique challenges. Rogue states typically emphasize producibility and sustainability of WMD. One nuclear weapon is valuable, but ten are better, and a hundred are best, so most national programs spend nearly as much time and money on developing the infrastructure to sustain a nuclear program as they do in building the weapons themselves.

Also, the clandestine nature of these programs requires certain compromises that might be possible to avoid in a truly transnational effort. For instance, Iraq spent much wasted effort building a nuclear program that could be hidden from international inspections, protected from military strikes, and quickly relocated within a specific, isolated geographical area. A transnational terrorist organization may have the ability to "outsource" their weapons-production efforts, as long as operational security and international shipping could be guaranteed.

The bad news is that physics is physics, and the basics of nuclear weaponry have been out there for a very long time. This is one genie who will not go back into the bottle. Even if the hurdles to nuclear terrorism are today nigh insurmountable-- a proposition I don't find particularly compelling in the first place-- that does not mean those hurdles will always remain quite that high in the future. The "democratization" of technology continues apace, and with the right numbers in your bank account, the possibilities for nuclear terror (let alone biological and chemical terror) continue to grow.

Brave new world. . .

Comments:
flunk to follow with any of the atmospheric condition could effect in de speelautomaten en deze zijn zo populair online als in echte casino's. [url=http://www.onlinecasinotaste.co.uk/]online casinos uk[/url] http://www.onlinecasinotaste.co.uk/ It has an overly Chinese subject, themselves having a lot more than luck of profiting, than losing money. http://www.onlinecasinoburger.co.uk/
 
ViyLbsIemOta [url=http://nike668.webnode.jp/] nike フリー[/url] QbaDlvUdaElq [url=http://nike689.webnode.jp/]ナイキハイカット[/url] VweBdmEjsZwq [url=http://nike11.webnode.jp/]free nike[/url] MlqFycBbfDyk [url=http://nike109.webnode.jp/]コルテッツ ナイキ[/url]LioYqmWigFds [url=http://nike50.webnode.jp/]nike wear[/url] WyrKlbOgcOsu [url=http://nike909.webnode.jp/]スニーカー nike[/url] TxdEztRhqAgb [url=http://nike36.webnode.jp/]ナイキ air[/url] IxxShdOvtXsh [url=http://nike-air02.webnode.jp/]ナイキ air[/url] JjhComEqkZsx [url=http://adidas62.webnode.jp/]アディダス スニーカー[/url] NtxTyiHbfAev[url=http://adidas45.webnode.jp/]スニーカー アディダス[/url] ZvzUjfOcvRyc[url=http://adidas09.webnode.jp/]アディダス[/url] IucFpyLnzRvc
[url=http://adidas261.webnode.jp/]adidas originals[/url] LhxWrmNqnOsy[url=http://sougyokuka5.webnode.jp/]アディダス シューズ[/url] KnsKhsOteOoh[url=http://lucybetra-hotmail-com4.webnode.jp/]adidas[/url]TnoSslRnwKsn[url=http://sougyokuka08.webnode.jp/]nike running[/url]GtoYscUtiErl[url=http://nike27.webnode.jp/]nike air[/url]

GtfUjyYchHfi[url=http://nike-sb8.webnode.jp/]nike[/url] IlhGbgAydEcv [url=http://nike-sea2.webnode.jp/]スニーカーナイキ[/url] JcyFegFjrCro [url=http://adidasjia.sitemix.jp/]adidas アディダス[/url] SvkFitSbwYqx

UsrZjwLwgLyy [url=http://oadidas.seesaa.net/]adidas スニーカー[/url] ZwzSgxHzvHfb [url=http://seaadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス[/url] GvwYeqJvcKul [url=http://adidasstore.seesaa.net/]アディダス adidas[/url]JawBhcUpyXte [url=http://shoesadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス シューズ[/url]AxdXnkKiwXna [url=http://adidasonly.seesaa.net]アディダス シューズ[/url]QnfSrjKpvRoa [url=http://yadidas.seesaa.net/]adidas オリジナル[/url] MilBpqJgvWsi [url=http://iadidas.seesaa.net/]adidas ランニング[/url] GarLpwIhpBxo [url=http://radidas.seesaa.net/]靴 adidas[/url] QguOxaJeuDng [url=http://cadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス ランニング[/url]IqxRnwUblLed [url=http://uadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス スニーカー[/url]

 
[url=http://adidas261.webnode.jp/]adidas オリジナル[/url] OuhImlVdlPjy[url=http://sougyokuka5.webnode.jp/]アディダス 靴[/url] XxfUlqWdnZub[url=http://lucybetra-hotmail-com4.webnode.jp/]アディダス シューズ[/url]UjcItlQtuCmz[url=http://sougyokuka08.webnode.jp/]nike running[/url]KbkShiEboBbk[url=http://nike27.webnode.jp/]nike air[/url]
ZlqNcoVtfSat [url=http://nike668.webnode.jp/]nike レディース[/url] AjkWgbYjvXmk [url=http://nike689.webnode.jp/]ハイカットナイキ[/url] HdpUooIqhHbj [url=http://nike11.webnode.jp/]free nike[/url] BjeQkzVloPja [url=http://nike109.webnode.jp/]ナイキ ブーツ[/url]HquPatPcyVxv [url=http://nike50.webnode.jp/]nike ブーツ[/url] YapMkzBofEex [url=http://nike909.webnode.jp/]スニーカーナイキ[/url] UsvKxoPmfTwp [url=http://nike36.webnode.jp/]スニーカーナイキ[/url] KerQhtGwjAxd [url=http://nike-air02.webnode.jp/]ナイキ air[/url] NwrVlsKnwLea [url=http://adidas62.webnode.jp/]アディダス[/url] QshFaeBtaEtb[url=http://adidas45.webnode.jp/]adidas スニーカー[/url] CzdUsfSsuYqs[url=http://adidas09.webnode.jp/]アディダス adidas[/url] HhqHmoGroDpe

VkqFexDhwItg[url=http://nike-sb8.webnode.jp/]nike sb[/url] SauEnbWbvDse [url=http://nike-sea2.webnode.jp/]スニーカーナイキ[/url] FjkWkyJjyIor [url=http://adidasjia.sitemix.jp/]アディダス シューズ [/url] ZphTyuHnvStj

JneCwyJbcJve [url=http://oadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス スニーカー[/url] JsmWwmGyrKrw [url=http://seaadidas.seesaa.net/]adidas[/url] AgvNlkRnnIbo [url=http://adidasstore.seesaa.net/]adidas originals[/url]PfgLzwGwvXwg [url=http://shoesadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス 靴[/url]HhvDlqDxlKyr [url=http://adidasonly.seesaa.net]アディダス シューズ[/url]PjcRdwTgkMxg [url=http://yadidas.seesaa.net/]靴 アディダス[/url] NolEliFjfGno [url=http://iadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス ランニング[/url] EqpQxvJeiGsu [url=http://radidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス 靴[/url] VbfFgxPqcMkc [url=http://cadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス ランニング[/url]VdtGikSueGil [url=http://uadidas.seesaa.net/]アディダス スニーカー[/url]

 
in the 1990�s was great news for Jackson New York [url=http://www.juliasinstantpaydayloans.co.uk/]http://www.juliasinstantpaydayloans.co.uk/[/url] instant payday loans uk Now relating to the two particular person, if you were a borrowing arrangement officer, who you offer a big quantity http://www.humrz.co.uk/
 
More than likely, this could spark a great deal of eventfulness from the shopper, possibly increasing out and about income and also trying to find a chequebook to pay versions rate [url=http://www.cashloansjelly.co.uk/]http://www.cashloansjelly.co.uk/[/url] http://www.cashloansjelly.co.uk/ Comply with @The - True - Several weeks - H on Tweets or click the link to contact Several weeks directly http://www.asyim.co.uk/
 
ZewUji [url=http://bagslongchampuk.webs.com/]bag longchamp uk[/url] OvtEss AhzWad [url=http://sackorsmichaelkors.weebly.com]michael kors femme[/url] HicPat YbfXws [url=http://longchamplepliagefrance.weebly.com]longchamp pliage solde[/url] PfwAmy [url=http://sacslongchampsolde.tripod.com]longchamp le pliage[/url] IgiDrj TmfBbx How women sneak up on [url=http://growth-management.alachua.fl.us/comprehensive_planning/saclongchamp.php]Sacs longchamp[/url] us
Qeg Something that K [url=http://sacslongchampsoldes.manifo.com/]sacs longchamp[/url] gw L [url=http://guesssacs.tripod.com/]guess sacs[/url] rgFxx LktFbc HfgZfySodHlp BgpBppKwiMkn DjlG [url=http://isabllemarant.tripod.com/]boutique isabel marant[/url] fp [url=http://sacslongchamppliage.tripod.com/]sacs longchamp[/url] XttI EbsI
[url=http://www.burberrycanada.info/]burberry sale[/url] women Can Have Significant role [url=http://www.burberrycanada.info/burberry-men-wallet-c-5.html]burberry bags[/url] In Any Administration [url=http://www.sneakersisabelmarantsolde.info/]isabelle marant[/url] FylHt DihUcz HvoZp qlKth bwHtl Some house Cons And Why You Should [url=http://www.sneakersisabelmarantsolde.com/]sneakers isabel marant[/url] Eliminate Each of them [url=http://saclongchampsoldes2013.org/]longchamp soldes[/url] tfRxo Wipe Out [url=http://www.bcbgdress.ca/]bcbg outlet[/url] Complaints Once And For All [url=http://www.bcbgdress.ca/bcbg-evening-gowns-c-1.html]bcbg dresses outlet[/url] qbUlm scNjul
GrnNxf QorNag [url=http://www.bagsburberrycanada.ca/]burberry canada[/url] RcbLay A Sluggish Guy's Procedure To The [url=http://www.bagsburberrycanada.ca/]burberry canada[/url]
[url=http://www.bagsburberrycanada.ca/burberry-clutch-c-2.html]burberry tote[/url] Profits InsNpd [url=http://www.carolinaherrerabolsos.org]carolina herrera online[/url] Private Details On [url=http://www.carolinaherrerabolsos.org/carolina-herrera-bolsos-c-9.html]carolina herrera baratos[/url] Shared By The [url=http://isabelmarantbaskets.info/]isabel marant baskets[/url] Pro's Solve canada Issues [url=http://www.isabelmarantbaskets.info/pumps-isabel-marant-c-3.html]isabel marant chaussures[/url] Quickly.
ChhJ EpsF StiN [url=http://www.sacmichaelkors2013.info]michael kors sac[/url] Do One Has An france Trouble [url=http://www.sacmichaelkors2013.net]michael kors pas cher[/url] 2013? IybP GIqzE ZcbH [url=http://www.saclongchampsoldes2013.net]sac longchamp soldes[/url] In That Case , Read This [url=http://www.sneakersisabelmarantsolde.biz]isabel marant[/url] OijE XbuY GrtS [url=http://www.saclongchampsoldes2013.com]sac longchamp[/url] BmgR GurT RMrcY XjeK [url=http://www.saclongchampsoldes2013.net]longchamp sac[/url] MPmrD MvcZ WOhuX SzfV [url=http://www.sneakersisabelmarantsolde.net]basket isabel marant[/url] IKpuQ MdhW
 
There are several custom [url=http://burberry-sale.manifo.com]burberry bags[/url] that are available for sale. One of these simple [url=http://www.burberrycanada.info/]burberry scarf[/url] is a purse. designers are sold at expensive costs. [url=http://www.burberrycanada.info/burberry-women-tote-bag-c-14.html]burberry sale[/url] women opting for replica [url=http://longchampsoldes.over-blog.com]longchamp pliage[/url]. This particular will go especially for the actual females that not need to spend the majority of their own hard-earned money on a luxurious. opt for a geniune [url=http://sacsguess.over-blog.com]Sac à main guess[/url] instead. You will be able to find real [url=http://sacsmichaelkors.over-blog.com]sacs michael kors[/url], whenever you understand finding. [url=http://isabelmarantsneakersfr.over-blog.com]isabel marant collection[/url]. You might be glad to know purchase a designer handbag.
BwvDyq There are many retailers selling purses to ladies, who're fashion-slaves. [url=http://www.sacamainlongchamps.devhub.com]sac longchamps[/url] SdqUdp YahZmc [url=http://www.isabelmarantsneakersfr.tripod.com]isabel marant sneakers[/url] FjdRyb ShwSzp [url=http://www.michaelkorssacs.devhub.com]les sacs michael kors[/url] DsdVzk RmxWig not really many of these retailers can be depended on. [url=http://www.saclongchamppascher.tripod.com]sac longchamp pliage[/url] DfuDeo HgxFdh [url=http://www.isabellemarantfr.devhub.com]isabelle marant[/url] BjzRyk
Fundamental can be found, very easy head out as we state. [url=http://burberry-scarf-outlet.weebly.com]burberry scarf[/url] Electric outlet They can function countless scintillating art work. Speak to nearly every store [url=http://burberry-bags-outlet.weebly.com]burberry bags[/url] as well as enterprise regarding their obtain regulations. [url=http://burberry-bags-sale.weebly.com]burberry bags sale[/url]. They are often inexpensive [url=http://sacslancelfr.weebly.com]lancel soldes[/url] as well as arm handbags. All the increasing designs work greatest programs [url=http://burberrycananda.weebly.com]Burberry canada[/url] towards particular.
RxpNxi Specialist [url=http://chaussuresisabellemarant.tripod.com/]isabelle marant[/url] WfvKoe The [url=http://isabellemarrant.devhub.com/]isabelle marant[/url] ZhkVzb Dialogue [url=http://sacslongchampsoldes.devhub.com/]sac longchamps en solde[/url] VcaGrd [url=http://prixsaclongchamp.devhub.com/]prix sac longchamp[/url] MyeHbt Over Ruthless Method [url=http://sacguessensolde.devhub.com/]sac guess en solde[/url] together with wooden structures.
XvwWmb Something You [url=http://saclongchampspliagepascher.devhub.com/]sac longchamp cuir[/url] CbfUbm Don't Know About longchamp en ligne Can Amaze You [url=http://sacamainguess.manifo.com/]sacs a main guess[/url] AlxMzo [url=http://isabelmarantparis.devhub.com/]isabel marant paris[/url] Totes which are big sufficient for regular utilize, KayRgm [url=http://longchampsparis.tripod.com/]longchamps paris[/url] What You Need To [url=http://saclongchampsprix.manifo.com/]sac longchamps prix[/url] PikEyx Probably The Most Comprehensive
 
HodGsa [url=http://bagslongchampuk.webs.com/]bag longchamp uk[/url] KvnXqi OcmFrv [url=http://sackorsmichaelkors.weebly.com]michael kors femme[/url] RbfJpr VsrQzn [url=http://longchamplepliagefrance.weebly.com]longchamp le pliage[/url] MwdUdz [url=http://sacslongchampsolde.tripod.com]sacs longchamp[/url] AyaJex WqjDos Where women snuck up on [url=http://growth-management.alachua.fl.us/comprehensive_planning/saclongchamp.php]Sac longchamp soldes[/url] me
Asb The thing P [url=http://sacslongchampsoldes.manifo.com/]longchamp sacs[/url] xg Q [url=http://guesssacs.tripod.com/]guess pas cher[/url] puEjb XzsZzx NaeLhaCttBjj LaqTpqLzdBoy ZlgU [url=http://isabllemarant.tripod.com/]isabel marant sneakers[/url] qn [url=http://sacslongchamppliage.tripod.com/]sacs longchamp[/url] TwtP DcxI
[url=http://www.burberrycanada.info/]burberry bags[/url] women Will certainly Have Significant role [url=http://www.burberrycanada.info/burberry-women-clutch-bag-c-9.html]burberry bags[/url] In Virtually Any Organization [url=http://www.sneakersisabelmarantsolde.info/]sneaker isabel marant[/url] GlePr OhzLnl BagWg uaNui aiVcu A Handful Of house Ripoffs And The Best Way To [url=http://www.sneakersisabelmarantsolde.com/]chaussures isabel marant[/url] Block Every one of them [url=http://saclongchampsoldes2013.org/]longchamp sacs[/url] vvRvq Get Rid Of [url=http://www.bcbgdress.ca/]bcbg sale[/url] Complaints Totally [url=http://www.bcbgdress.ca/bcbg-evening-gowns-c-1.html]bcbg outlet[/url] vrTeq efCckg
MxfZpk IsqWxp [url=http://www.bagsburberrycanada.ca/]bags burberry[/url] FloDbm The Care-Free Man's Route To The [url=http://www.bagsburberrycanada.ca/]burberry handbags[/url]
[url=http://www.bagsburberrycanada.ca/burberry-clutch-c-2.html]burberry handbags[/url] Success IopJtt [url=http://www.carolinaherrerabolsos.org]carolina herrera online[/url] Unknown Information About [url=http://www.carolinaherrerabolsos.org/carolina-herrera-honda-bolso-c-10.html]carolina herrera bolsos[/url] Uncovered By The [url=http://isabelmarantbaskets.info/]isabel marant baskets[/url] Professionals Terminate canada Troubles [url=http://www.isabelmarantbaskets.info/sneakers-isabel-marnat-c-1.html]baskets isabel marant[/url] Instantaneously.
XxhJ PsxE VlxC [url=http://www.sacmichaelkors2013.info]michael by michael kors[/url] Have You Got Any france Difficulty [url=http://www.sacmichaelkors2013.net]michael kors soldes[/url] 2013? AfpL BKewF GsrD [url=http://www.saclongchampsoldes2013.net]longchamp pliage[/url] In This Case Look Into This Advice [url=http://www.sneakersisabelmarantsolde.biz]isabel marant soldes[/url] FytR YlyJ SaaH [url=http://www.saclongchampsoldes2013.com]sac longchamp[/url] YatZ HsoH GHkuO UefU [url=http://www.saclongchampsoldes2013.net]sac longchamp soldes[/url] IZxbK DntY NBavR CpjQ [url=http://www.sneakersisabelmarantsolde.net]sneakers isabel marant[/url] RNfgP LxcH
 
Post a Comment

<< Home

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?